According to a report from the Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute, the share of Utah’s minority population will increase from approximately 20% in 2015 to 35% in 2065. Half of Utah’s population growth in this time span will come from minority populations.
Among minority populations, Hispanics show the largest increase numerically with 850,000 new Utah residents from 2015 to 2065, reaching 1.3 million. Those identifying as Two or More Races are the fastest growing group, with an average annual percentage growth rate of 8.1%.
These demographic trends are part of a larger generational shift as youth become more diverse compared to their elders. The Utah population will continue its trend towards more diversity while maintaining a smaller share of minority groups compared to the nation.
Minority Share of Population, Utah and U.S., 1900 – 2060
Broken down by age, from 2015 to 2065, the total population median age increases by 7.6 years, with the smallest increase in the Asian group (6.5 years) and the largest increase in the Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander group (10.2 years).
In 2065, Whites will be the oldest group, followed by Asians. The youngest population, by far, are those reporting Two or More Races, consistent with recent cultural and generational shifts.
Utah Median Age by Race/Ethnicity, 2010-2065
For more information, see the Kem C. Gardner Institute’s report Utah’s Increasing Diversity: Population Projections by Race/Ethnicity